When it comes to card counting, Black Jack is the game most people think of. In fact, it is the most classic gambling game using poker cards that one can guess the expected value by counting the remaining cards. Although by applying the same card value concept, many gambling pros have also developed a Baccarat betting strategy that can help them learn how to play baccarat and make money at the game. This is named as Baccarat Card-Counting Strategy.
Baccarat Formula: Basic Baccarat Card Counting
The reason this is a strategy labeled a formula is because it can be repeated to execute. The main concept of this formula is called “Number Record”. Players assign a certain value to each card in the deck so we don’t need to have a memory the size of a library or the strength of steel to perform this strategy. Instead, what we need to do is focus on doing the calculation of values by + or -. The assigned values are as follows.
| A | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | J | Q | K |
| +1 | +1 | +2 | +3 | -2 | -2 | -2 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Baccarat Formula: Implementing Card Counting
The value assigned to the card means that it has a relative influence that the card can bring to the rest of the deck. Take 9,10, J, Q, and K for example, a value of 0 means that these cards will not have much effect on the cards already dealt, because the value it adds to the previous card is not changes everything. after it is given or laid out. If we first got 6, then we got a face card, now the total added value would still be 6.
Now that we know what value is assigned and how we should play or use the values, now we need to observe if the total value increases or decreases as the cards are dealt or laid out throughout the game.
When the total value increases, it means that the small cards are dealt almost in the first part of the deck, which means that the probability of face cards coming from or being obtained from the remaining decks increases.
This should serve or alarm for experienced Baccarat players to cause more face cards in the deck which usually results in bad luck or defeat for the player. Since Baccarat is a game that requires at least two cards to be dealt and the value is reduced by ten when the added value of the two dealt cards exceeds 10, if we get 5 first deals, we need small cards like 1, 2,3,4 to increase the strength of the cards we hold, even with face cards, they will only reduce its strength
Conversely, when the sum of the assigned value of the dealt cards is small, it means that the face cards are dealt at the beginning of the game so that the chance of small cards being dealt for the next game will increase, which will be an advantage for players to make their hand stronger and have a chance to win. This will help players decide how they should bet in the next rounds.
Baccarat Formula: Advanced Implementation of Card Counting
Now that we know the basics or methods, it’s time to move on to advanced techniques and strategies on how to play baccarat with concept and execution. According to the previous explanation, we know that the sum of the assigned values of the previous or previous cards can give us a clue as to what kind of cards can be dealt in the future, now what we need to know is which side should let’s bet.
The advanced concept in this chapter is that we need to use the difference in face value between the dealer and the player as a reference for betting the edge afterwards. We will make our decision based on whether the difference in value is increasing or decreasing.
If in the first two rounds the value difference is reduced, now we have to bet on the side of the previous winner or previous winners. Only vice versa, if the value difference increases, we should bet on the losing part of the previous round.
These are Examples:
- Round 1: Dealer wins, 9 to 3 (value difference 9-3=6)
- Round 2: The player wins, 8 to 3 (value difference 8-3=5)
- Round 3: Can bet
- Round 1: Dealer wins, 5 to 4 (value difference 5-4=1)
- Round 1: The player wins, 7 to 1 (value difference 7-1=6)
- Round 6: Can bet
- Round 1: Dealer wins, 9 to 4 (value difference 9-4=5)
- Round 1: The player wins, 5 to 3 (value difference 5-3=2)
- Round 9: Can bet
If we are betting on round 3,6,9, we must remember the value difference between the previous two rounds of our betting. The difference in value has decreased from round 1 to round 2, so we must bet on the previous winning side, which is the Player side.
The difference in value has increased from round 4 to round 5, which means that we must bet on the losing side of the previous round, which is the dealer’s side. The value difference is reduced again from round 7 to round 8, so we will bet again on the previous winning side, including the Player side.
In total, there are at least 50-70 rounds of games before the entire deck is burned or depleted in dealing.
Baccarat Formula: Conclusion
So, using the Baccarat Profit Formula for how to play baccarat can help increase the winning percentage of our games. Although another question is raised, should a bet be placed on consecutive winning sides?
There is no sure and correct answer here whether it should be applied within the Profit formula or not, as it should first be determined whether or not to include it based on the betting frequency of the game and the size of the stack that can be played.
With a more aggressive style and a deeper stack, we can use it within our Profit Formula, although if we are a more conservative player with an average stack, we can exclude it from our betting game and focus only on all fit the criteria we mentioned above.
We may not win as fast as the aggressive player, but it can still help us make money on how to play baccarat.